Certifying fresh microbial conversion from finite challenge records: a sharp two-pool material bound
Abstract
A finite record of product collected from a microbial preparation is compatible both with fresh conversion and with release of material that was already present. We study this ambiguity in a two-window material model with a mobile product pool, a convertible reserve pool, release, uptake, losses, and an intervening recovery step with pool-specific retention. Given calibrated upper bounds on initial stock , on the pre-wash reserve , on credited recovery input , and retention factors , we prove that the fresh credited inventory generated during the two windows is at least , the maximum of five affine expressions in the two observed collections, and that is exactly the minimum of over the declared class: an explicit finite material schedule attains it from every admissible initial split of the stock. The lower bound, an equivalent remaining-stock form, the attaining schedule and the resulting exactness statement are verified in Lean 4 against Mathlib. An exact counterexample shows that an initial reserve ceiling cannot be substituted for the pre-wash ceiling, because uptake during the first window moves mobile product into the better retained pool; we also verify a zero-fresh history lying inside the reported output envelopes of our worked record. We then prove that a bound on the initial reserve together with a cumulative uptake cap is a valid alternative premise: the same five expressions, evaluated at , remain sound and remain exactly attained, so destructive pre-wash measurement is sufficient but not necessary. Finally we quantify what a wash buys. At a matched material source the mobile retention factor cancels from the certificate, so removing known product is not itself an improvement; the entire benefit is attenuation of first-window measurement uncertainty, worth in the regime where the reserve-sensitive expression is active. In a synthetic mL example the washed certificate is against for a matched unwashed protocol, and that margin is erased by reserve slack or by lost productive activity: strict improvement holds exactly when the retained activity exceeds . All numerical inputs are synthetic. The results are an assay-design theory with a proposed biological application; they are not biologically calibrated, and the certificate does not assert substrate-specific atom attribution, viability, or future function.